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Date Posted: 4/3/2010

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FREE PICK FROM MATT FARGO
ARKANSAS ST at UL LAFAYETTE - PLAY ON ARKANSAS ST
This is a big game for both sides. Arkansas St. is leading the Sun Belt West by a half-game over North Texas while Louisiana-Lafayette trails by two games. A win by the Cajuns pulls them to within a game with three to play but it is not going to be easy. This line is higher than it should be and that is because of Lafayette’s 6-0 home record in conference action. The problem with that is three of those wins came against the three worst teams in the conference, New Orleans, Florida International and Arkansas-Little Rock. The wins over Denver, Troy and North Texas were good but two were very close and the overall home numbers are skewed by those three blowout wins against lesser opposition. The Cajuns lost the first meeting three weeks ago in Jonesboro which sets up a revenge spot but I hardly see a comfortable win by Lafayette with so much at stake for both sides. This is the final road game for the Red Wolves who play their final three games of the season at the friendly confines of the Convocation Center where they are 9-3 this season. On the road, Arkansas St. is a respectable 6-7 on the season including a 4-3 mark in conference action. This team has edges all over the place including big categories such as assist/turnover ratio, rebounding margin and shooting defense, both regular and long range. The Red Wolves bring in the higher RPI by a wide margin and that comes with playing a tougher schedule as well. Arkansas St. has been up and down of late but the overall play on the road has been solid as it is 7-3-1 ATS in its 11 lined road games and it is 6-1 ATS this season against teams with a losing record. The Red Wolves are also 8-1 ATS when their opponent is coming off a road loss and that shows there is no letting up or looking past a game. A lot of this is coaching as ex-LSU coach John Brady is one of the best in this conference so it is no wonder that is the came. Brady is 16-4 ATS in his last 20 road games coached when playing as an underdog between 6.5 and 9 points. Arkansas St. has every chance to win this one outright but we will grab the generous points anyway. 3* Arkansas St. Red Wolves
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Andrew Powers - SUN BELT CONFERENCE POWER PLAY OF THE YEAR

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Steam On-Line - LATE STEAM BIG EAST CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Tom Stryker - Stryker's 20-5 ATS CBB Super System Smoker

Winners Inc. - ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Wise Guy Insider - QUADRUPLE PAC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Wizard of Odds - SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR


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